September 11, 12, and 13th Primaries Preview

New York – September 13 (polls close at 9pm eastern)

NY Gov D Primary | MoV (Ballotpedia | NYT / DDHQ / SoS)

NY AG (Ballotpedia | NYT / DDHQ / SoS)

The Cuomo-Nixon battle seems all but done, if we trust the polls (like, the polls would have to be REALLY wrong for Nixon to win).  The only question left is how much Cuomo wins by, so I expect most of the action to be in the margin of victory market.  Meanwhile, the Attorney General race is actually up in the air.  Siena has it 24% James, 25% Maloney, and 18% Teachout with a juicy 30% undecided.  From the same poll, we can surmise that James will take NYC, Maloney will take the suburbs and upstate (but not overwhelmingly), and Teachout will be battling for second in all the regions (the undecideds are evenly distributed).  Enjoy this one!

New Hampshire – September 11 (polls close at 7pm eastern)

NH Gov D Primary (Ballotpedia | NYT / DDHQ / SoS)

NH-01 D Primary (Ballotpedia | NYT / DDHQ / SoS)

NH-01 R Primary (Ballotpedia | NYT / DDHQ / SoS)

I literally have no clue what’s going on here so I will spare you the usual drivel and instead direct you to the more attentive takes of 538, Vox, and NYT.

Rhode Island – September 12 (polls close at 8pm eastern)

No markets yet!  But the overall governor’s race does have a market, and the female governor’s market is affected by Raimondo winning her primary or not.

New York – September 13 (polls close at 9pm eastern)

NY Gov D Primary | MoV (Ballotpedia | NYT / DDHQ / SoS)

NY AG (Ballotpedia | NYT / DDHQ / SoS)

The Cuomo-Nixon battle seems all but done, if we trust the polls (like, the polls would have to be REALLY wrong for Nixon to win).  The only question left is how much Cuomo wins by, so I expect most of the action to be in the margin of victory market.  Meanwhile, the Attorney General race is actually up in the air.  Siena has it 24% James, 25% Maloney, and 18% Teachout with a juicy 30% undecided.  From the same poll, we can surmise that James will take NYC, Maloney will take the suburbs and upstate (but not overwhelmingly), and Teachout will be battling for second in all the regions (the undecideds are evenly distributed).  Enjoy this one!

 

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