MS Special Run-off Election Preview

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Results

NYT | DDHQ | CNN | SoS

Round 1: NYT | CNN

Markets

Espy v Hyde-Smith | DvR |GOPSEN | MoV | Counties | Turnout

Preview

Will Espy pull off a miracle upset?  Well, probably not.  He needs to maintain or boost turnout in the delta, the black belt, and in Jackson compared to round one while hoping that rural white turnout declines such that the margins in Biloxi, Tupelo, and counties like Rankin and Pearl River aren’t enough to bury him.  Some turnout decline is expected in a run-off, but Espy really needs a perfect storm to pull this off, his opponent’s gaffes notwithstanding.

Elsewhere on PI

It’s been a while since a weekly preview (I blame Thanksgiving travel) but basically we’re looking at a normal RDT finish, a potentially exciting PT finish, and boring struggles to escape B1 in WHT and VPT.  Meanwhile if you want to sink your teeth into a rules debate, there’s a great one in Trump testify (a bit of a quiet simmer at the moment).  Manafort is in the news so his markets are jittering around a bit as people wonder if he’ll catch the pardon he’s been fishing for (supposedly).

 

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